Election 2019: Could Expat Voters Hold The Balance Of Power?

If British expats rush to vote in General Election 2019, what chance do they have in swaying the balance of power?

A record 285,000 expat voters signed up for the last election in 2017.

Over 650 seats, that averages out as 438 expat votes a constituency.

That doesn’t sound a lot, but with 51 seats in the last election securing a majority of fewer than 2% of the voters listed in the constituency, expats could make a difference.

For instance, Fife North East had a majority of just two votes as the most marginal constituency in the UK.

Seats at risk from a small swing

If three more expats had registered and cast their votes for the Liberal Democrats, instead of a Scottish Nationalist MP, the Lib Dems would have won the seat.

Tory rebel Amber Rudd stands as an independent in Hastings and Rye, where she won with a majority of 346 in 2017.

Labour’s Rosie Duffield could be under threat in Canterbury, where she defends a majority of 185.

Emma Coad holds Kensington for Labour with a slender majority of just 20, Tory Zac Goldsmith has a majority of 45 in Richmond Park and Labour’s Laura Smith has a majority of 45 in Crewe and Nantwich.

Scotland not as staunch SNP as first thought

All these seats could see a swing if expats registered and voted.

Of course, 438 is an average and could be enough to make a difference in some seats.

Expat groups are urging Brits abroad to apply for postal votes and to return them within plenty of time to avoid delays and lost votes.

Anyone with a vote can apply for a postal vote without giving a reason.

Most of the seats in Scotland are up for grabs as marginals as they were won with a majority of less than 10%.

Stay Connected

Latest News

Non Resident Landlord Scheme Explained for Expats

The UK Non-Resident Landlord Scheme (NRLS) is the way HM Revenue & Customs collects tax on rents from property owners who spend...

OECD Explained

The Organisation of Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) is a forum for the governments of 37 developed countries to discuss economic and...

QROPS List – June 1, 2020

The number of Qualifying Recognised Overseas Pension Scheme (QROPS) across 28 countries has hit 1,917 – with 13 opening during the past...

FATCA List – June 2020

The US Internal Revenue Service’s list of foreign financial institutions (FFI) reporting under the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) increased by 1,854...

Economic Impact Payments for US Expats

The US government is paying millions of dollars into the bank accounts of American expats as coronavirus economic impact payments and this guide will...

HMRC Explained

HMRC is short for Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs. The HMRC collects the taxes and customs duties that the British government spends...


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here